Back in the last century, after a class on the US and the Middle East, I had a short chat with my professor after a depressing lecture on the intractability of the Arab-Israeli dispute. Following a short rehash of his lecture, I asked: “So what is the solution?” He smiled and replied: “Why does there have to be one?”
“So then what do we do?” I asked.
“We manage the situation. Do the best we can to keep it from blowing up.”
Nothing, unfortunately, has taken place to change my mind that he had it right (I have no idea how he’d answer the same question today). And when it comes to Hamas, the fact that there isn’t a solution is even more true.
Hamas doesn’t want a two-state solution. It wants to eliminate Israel as a state. How are the Israelis supposed to negotiate with a movement that doesn’t accept the idea that a Jewish state, within any boundaries, should exist survive in the Middle East? How do the Israelis, or the Americans, treat with a movement that in its charter states that the Rotary Club is part of a vast global Zionist conspiracy?
As I write this post, I’m listening to the TV and I just heard a commentator ask the Israeli ambassador to the U.S. why Hamas would provoke Israel, given the imbalance in power between the two? The answer is simple: because Hamas expects (events will probably show that they know) that political pressures from around the world will ultimately cut short any military operation by the Israelis before they are able to deal a lethal blow to Hamas. From the point of view of Hamas, the more Palestinians who die, innocent or not, the better.
To what point? The outlines of this “resistance” campaign of “martydom” by Hamas is clear enough. Hizbullah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, who led a somewhat comparable campaign in 2006 in southern Lebanon,
has provided us with the outlines.
In a speech delivered today by video he told his followers that the strikes were part of a “Zionist-American” plan. In short, it’s our fault, not Hamas’s, which refused to continue the ceasefire and began firing rockets into southern Israel. He also stated that there is “true and full collaboration between certain Arab regimes, especially those who have already signed peace deals with Israel [Egypt and Jordan], to crush any form of resistance.” People in those states need to bring popular pressure against their governments. He also called for the other Islamic states to make the most of the current world situation. “In this period the United States of America and the Europeans are suffering from financial and economic crisis. But we in the Arab world, we have oil, we have money, we have political stands, our governments and regimes with very little effort, can very easily stop the Zionist assault on the people in Gaza.” And if the Arabs remain steadfast, he predicted ultimate victory because “Israel cannot manage wars of attrition.”
That’s what this is, and by “this” I’m not only talking about what’s now going on in and around Gaza. This is the entire strategy of Israel’s Islamist opponents, most notably Hezbullah, Hamas, and their Iranian backers. Each crisis is but an element in the larger “Real War," and to the Jihadists Israel is but one of their objectives. And that will be the theme of this blog.